# PRODUCTION FORECAST REPORT
# Option C - 6-Month Forecast
# Generated: 2025-12-19 23:17:32

## 1. Executive Summary

Prophet model trained on 44 weeks of historical data to forecast 26 weeks ahead.
Forecast period: Week 45 (2025-11-03) to Week 70 (2026-04-27)

## 2. Net Cash Flow Forecast

| Scenario | Total (26 weeks) |
|----------|------------------|
| Best Case (95%) | $99,155,215 |
| Most Likely | $5,450,400 |
| Worst Case (95%) | $-89,910,027 |

## 3. Ending Cash Balance

| Scenario | Week 70 Balance |
|----------|------------------|
| Starting Balance | $9,654,990 |
| Best Case (95%) | $104,892,766 |
| Most Likely | $11,187,952 |
| Worst Case (95%) | $-84,172,476 |

## 4. Entity Forecasts

| Entity | 26-Week Total |
|--------|---------------|
| ID10 | $550,275 |
| MY10 | $282,536 |
| SS10 | $-3,558 |
| PH10 | $1,070,978 |
| KR10 | $-1,146,232 |
| TW10 | $1,839,250 |
| TH10 | $-216,805 |
| VN20 | $3,542,507 |

## 5. Risk Assessment

- Weeks with negative balance: 0
- Liquidity status: HEALTHY

## 6. Model Configuration

- Algorithm: Prophet
- Seasonality: Monthly (30.5-day period, Fourier order 5)
- Confidence intervals: 95%
- Changepoint prior scale: 0.05